Valparaiso vs Bradley Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 29

Bradley coach Brian Wardle talks to his team as they play against Arkansas during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022, in North Little Rock, Ark.
(AP Photo/Michael Woods)
  • Bradley is a -13.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Valparaiso / Bradley TV channel: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons visit Carver Arena to take on the Bradley Braves on Dec. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Peoria, IL.

Bradley is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Valparaiso vs. Bradley Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Bradley Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+13.5 -105O 150.5 -110+725
Bradley -13.5 -115U 150.5 -110-1200

Valparaiso vs Bradley Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bradley will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Valparaiso vs Bradley Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bradley will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 15 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 17 games at home (+14.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bradley have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.36 Units / 14% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -3.16% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Bradley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bradley has a 6-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI).

  • 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 1.25% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 39% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.85 Units / -48.15% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Valparaiso is shooting 81% from the free throw line (218/270) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72%

Valparaiso is shooting 81% from the free throw line (218/270) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Bradley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bradley is shooting 46% from three (139/304) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bradley has made 11.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Bradley is shooting 40% from three (419/1,062) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bradley is shooting 40% from three (419/1,062) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 35%

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 5.2 steals per game (62 steals/12 games) this season — tied for lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Valparaiso has averaged 5.2 steals per game (62 steals/12 games) this season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (82/253) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (860 points/699 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Bradley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bradley has averaged 7.5 steals per game (331 steals/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Bradley has averaged 8.1 steals per game (97 steals/12 games) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Bradley has 331 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Bradley allowed 66.7 points per game (2,134 points/32 games) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.1


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