- Illinois State is a -8.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Valparaiso / Illinois State TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons visit CEFCU Arena to take on the Illinois State Redbirds on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Normal, IL, IL, USA.
Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +8.5 -110 | O 145.5 -115 | +310 |
| Illinois State | -8.5 -110 | U 145.5 -105 | -400 |
Valparaiso vs Illinois State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Illinois State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+2.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -15.78% ROI
- 13-7 when betting the Over for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI
- 7-13 when betting the Under for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois State has a 14-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.35 Units / 27.49% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -3.69% ROI
- 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.14% ROI
- 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.25 Units / -27.12% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State is shooting 39% from three (227/583) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois State has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Illinois State has made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Illinois State has averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (174 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.0 steals per game (131 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (578/1,262) this season — tied for 34th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (1,438/3,060) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has forced 12.5 turnovers per game (276 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.3
Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (119 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Illinois State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (119 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Illinois State has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.3
Illinois State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (198/563) this season — tied for 34th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
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