- Illinois State is a -8.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Valparaiso / Illinois State TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons visit CEFCU Arena to take on the Illinois State Redbirds on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Normal, IL.
Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-118).
The Valparaiso vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +8.5 -102 | O 139.5 -110 | +340 |
| Illinois State | -8.5 -118 | U 139.5 -110 | -450 |
Valparaiso vs Illinois State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 65.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Illinois State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 16-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.2 Units / 27.22% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -4.52% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois State has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI).
- 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -8.76% ROI
- 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI
- 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State is shooting 47% (690/1,463) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Illinois State has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Illinois State has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9
Illinois State has averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (955 turnovers/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.4
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (6,603 points/5,172 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (164/525) this season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (617/1,423) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso has allowed 70.2 points per game (1,755 points/25 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State has allowed 67.6 points per game (1,691 points/25 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1
Illinois State has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (672 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Illinois State has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Illinois State has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (1,691 points/1,403 shots) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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