- Indiana State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points
- Valparaiso / Indiana State TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons visit Hulman Center to take on the Indiana State Sycamores on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Terre Haute, IN, USA.
Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Indiana State Over/Under is 162.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Indiana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +4.5 -110 | O 162.5 -110 | +165 |
| Indiana State | -4.5 -110 | U 162.5 -110 | -200 |
Valparaiso vs Indiana State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 57.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Indiana State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Indiana State will cover the spread with 62.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 15 away games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Indiana State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Indiana State has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.43% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -18.26% ROI
- 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI
- 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Indiana State has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -9.33% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -13.09% ROI
- 15-6 when betting the Over for +8.4 Units / 36.44% ROI
- 6-15 when betting the Under for -10.55 Units / -45.57% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Indiana State had an eFG% of 60% last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Indiana State made 407 three-pointers last season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Indiana State scored 3,126 points last season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Indiana State attempted 1,067 threes last season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 5.8 steals per game (134 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (1,471/3,118) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (4,050 points/3,118 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (158/478) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Indiana State has allowed 79.6 points per game (1,830 points/23 games) this season — tied for 20th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Indiana State has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (1,830 points/1,411 shots) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Indiana State has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (615 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Indiana State averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,046 rebounds/37 games) last season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
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