Valparaiso vs Indiana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2023, 12:39 PM
  • Indiana State (16-9) are -13.5 point favorites vs Valparaiso (10-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons (10-15) visit Hulman Center to take on the Indiana State Sycamores (16-9) on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Terre Haute.

Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Valparaiso vs. Indiana State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Indiana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+13.5 -110O 147.5 -115+575
Indiana State -13.5 -110U 147.5 -105-900

Valparaiso vs Indiana State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this game with 72.7% confidence.

Valparaiso vs Indiana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Valparaiso and Indiana State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+11.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+17.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has gone 11-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.19% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has gone 14-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -14.87% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso is shooting 30% from three (148/500) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Valparaiso has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Valparaiso has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Valparaiso has 15.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 77.8 points per game (1,867 points/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Indiana State has an eFG% of 55% this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Indiana State has averaged 77.8 points per game (1,867 points/24 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Indiana State has made 667 field goals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,475/3,261) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Valparaiso has allowed 72.5 points per game (1,739 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (643 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Indiana State has 167 steals this season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,408/3,253) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Indiana State has averaged 7.0 steals per game (167 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.