- Murray State is a -11.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- Valparaiso / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Jan. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Murray, KY.
Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Murray State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
Bet now on Murray State vs Valparaiso & all college basketball games with BetMGM
Valparaiso vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +11.5 -110 | O 152.5 -110 | 525 |
| Murray State | -11.5 -110 | U 152.5 -110 | -750 |
Valparaiso vs Murray State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Murray State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence for today’s game.
Bet now on Murray State vs Valparaiso and all games with BetMGM
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 away games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+2.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 9-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.4 Units / 14.5% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -14.23% ROI
- 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
- 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has a 11-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.4 Units / 23.47% ROI).
- 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 7.79% ROI
- 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has a TS% of 43% this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 46% this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Murray State has allowed 5.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7
Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Murray State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (94 steals/17 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has a TS% of 43% this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 46% this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Murray State has allowed 5.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7
Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Murray State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (94 steals/17 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Bet now on Murray State vs Valparaiso and all games with BetMGM
More College Basketball Betting at
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college basketball betting through the regular season and postseason. From futures like college basketball national championship odds and Final Four odds to team betting like Kentucky basketball odds, Arizona basketball odds, or Kansas basketball odds, there’s something for everyone.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
