Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

(AP Photo)
  • Northern Iowa is a -8.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Valparaiso / Northern Iowa TV channel: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons visit Enterprise Center to take on the Northern Iowa Panthers on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in St. Louis, MO, USA.

Northern Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Valparaiso vs. Northern Iowa Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Northern Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+8.5 -110O 138.5 -110+290
Northern Iowa -8.5 -110U 138.5 -110-375

Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Iowa will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.12 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.23% ROI).

  • 12-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -11.35% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has a 19-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.9 Units / 20.81% ROI).

  • 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 3.45% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Over for -9.9 Units / -30% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Valparaiso averaged 67.5 points per game (2,093 points/31 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (633 turnovers/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Northern Iowa had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (394 assists/ 321 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northern Iowa has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (241 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Northern Iowa averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (251 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 5.9 steals per game (188 steals/32 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Valparaiso has averaged 6.0 steals per game (381 steals/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (854/1,853) this season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (235/685) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa averaged 6.4 steals per game (198 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Iowa has averaged 5.8 steals per game (175 steals/30 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Northern Iowa has allowed 67.7 points per game (2,032 points/30 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.9

Northern Iowa has allowed 67.7 points per game (2,032 points/30 games) this season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.