Villanova vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

Man in a suit shouting with his fist in the air.
(AP Photo)
  • UConn is a -8.5 point favorite vs Villanova
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Villanova / UConn TV channel: FS1

The Villanova Wildcats visit XL Center to take on the UConn Huskies on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Hartford, CT, CT, USA.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Villanova vs. UConn Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Villanova vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Villanova+8.5 -110O 139.5 -115+310
UConn -8.5 -110U 139.5 -105-400

Villanova vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Villanova vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Villanova will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.74 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+10.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.88% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -3.24% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 20.83% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.5 Units / -29.93% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / -19.64% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -2.03% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12% ROI

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (266/323) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 40% from three (252/634) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Villanova has 14.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.8

Villanova is shooting 40% from three (252/634) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has 763 assists at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big East Teams

UConn had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (734 assists/ 376 TOs) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UConn assisted on 734 field goals last season — most among Big East Teams

UConn averaged 18.8 assists per game (734 assists/39 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova allowed 63.2 points per game (2,086 points/33 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Villanova allowed opponents to shoot 40% (579/1,441) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Villanova allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,622 points/1,441 shots) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Villanova has allowed 65.1 points per game (2,866 points/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.0

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,051 rebounds/39 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UConn averaged 6.3 steals per game (244 steals/39 games) last season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

UConn allowed 63.6 points per game (2,482 points/39 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

UConn allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,482 points/2,215 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.