- Louisville is a -3.5 point favorite vs Virginia
- Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
- Virginia / Louisville TV channel: ESPN2
The Virginia Cavaliers visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.
Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Virginia vs. Louisville Over/Under is 155.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Virginia vs Louisville Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 64.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Virginia vs Louisville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+14.60 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+13.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games at home (+15.45 Units / 1% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 11-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI).
- 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.35 Units / 7.69% ROI).
- 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 0.22% ROI
- 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.95 Units / -16.71% ROI
- 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 7.41% ROI
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia has allowed 59.8 points per game (3,108 points/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.1
Virginia has allowed 59.8 points per game (3,108 points/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.1
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia has allowed 59.8 points per game (3,108 points/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.1
Virginia has allowed 59.8 points per game (3,108 points/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.1
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
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