- North Carolina State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Virginia
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- Virginia / North Carolina State TV channel: ESPN2
The Virginia Cavaliers visit Lenovo Center to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Jan. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00am EST in Raleigh, NC.
North Carolina State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-118).
The Virginia vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia | +4.5 -102 | O 152.5 -110 | 180 |
| North Carolina State | -4.5 -118 | U 152.5 -110 | -220 |
Virginia vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this college basketball game with 67.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Virginia vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+8.15 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+6.80 Units / 0% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+6.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+0.95 Units / 0% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI).
- 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.08% ROI
- 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (70/196) in the second half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina State forced 12.3 turnovers per game (481 turnovers/39 games) last season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.5
North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (124/387) this season — 3rd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina State has allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,180 points/839 shots) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia has allowed 59.9 points per game (2,993 points/50 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.9
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (70/196) in the second half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina State forced 12.3 turnovers per game (481 turnovers/39 games) last season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.5
North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (124/387) this season — 3rd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina State has allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,180 points/839 shots) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia has allowed 59.9 points per game (2,993 points/50 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.9
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