Virginia vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

(AP Photo/Paul Vernon)
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  • Virginia is a -4.5 point favorite vs Ohio State
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Virginia / Ohio State TV channel: FOX

The Virginia Cavaliers visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Nashville, TN.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Virginia vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia-4.5 -105O 147.5 -115-190
Ohio State +4.5 -115U 147.5 -105+154

Virginia vs Ohio State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 59.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 20-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 0.77% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / -20.38% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 0.28% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State is shooting 79% from the free throw line (400/509) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Ohio State is shooting 34% from three (182/533) this season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (350 turnovers/33 games) last season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Ohio State averaged 33% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (646 free throw attempts/1,966 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (175/570) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State averaged 5.4 steals per game (179 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ohio State averaged 5.4 steals per game (179 steals/33 games) last season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.