Virginia vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • Pittsburgh is a -13.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Virginia / Pittsburgh TV channel: ESPN

The Virginia Cavaliers visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA, USA.

Pittsburgh is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Virginia vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia+13.5 -115O 132.5 -105+650
Pittsburgh -13.5 -105U 132.5 -115-1000

Virginia vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+3.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+1.93 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+16.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+1.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.25% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 3.11% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.15 Units / 13.07% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.45 Units / -22.38% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 9.13% ROI).

  • 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 3.62% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 9.54% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.15 Units / -17.93% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has averaged 63.0 points per game (3,337 points/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.7

Virginia has averaged 63.7 points per game (2,229 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.9

Virginia has averaged 63.7 points per game (2,229 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.9

Virginia has averaged 63.3 points per game (1,393 points/22 games) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.7 turnovers per game (77 turnovers/21 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Pittsburgh has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (155 assists/ 77 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (191 turnovers/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia has allowed 27.6 points per game (1,464 points/53 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.4

Virginia has averaged 5.1 steals per game (113 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 7.3 steals per game (153 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Pittsburgh has averaged 7.1 steals per game (226 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (222/736) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh has averaged 6.7 steals per game (357 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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