- Virginia is a -1.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Virginia / SMU TV channel: ESPN2
The Virginia Cavaliers visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Virginia vs. SMU Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Virginia vs SMU Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 55.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Virginia vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+17.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+16.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+9.05 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+7.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 12-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.5 Units / 34.76% ROI).
- 14-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.8 Units / 0.61% ROI
- 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.11% ROI).
- 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
- 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (902 assists/ 568 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
SMU has averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,108 rebounds/84 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.1
SMU has averaged 17.9 assists per game (304 assists/17 games) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.4
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 9.0 steals per game (452 steals/50 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
SMU has averaged 8.1 steals per game (681 steals/84 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6
SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (902 assists/ 568 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
SMU has averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,108 rebounds/84 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.1
SMU has averaged 17.9 assists per game (304 assists/17 games) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.4
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 9.0 steals per game (452 steals/50 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
SMU allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,171 points/1,857 shots) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
SMU has averaged 8.1 steals per game (681 steals/84 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6
SMU allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (212/679) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
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