Virginia vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

Wake Forest head coach Steve Forbes cheers on his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Virginia in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
  • Wake Forest is a -7.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Virginia / Wake Forest TV channel: ESPNU

The Virginia Cavaliers visit Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Winston Salem, NC, USA.

Wake Forest is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Virginia vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia+7.5 -110O 132.5 -115+260
Wake Forest -7.5 -110U 132.5 -105-325

Virginia vs Wake Forest Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.18 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.08 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.09% ROI).

  • 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 8.29% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6.05 Units / 20.44% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.85 Units / -29.65% ROI

Wake Forest Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wake Forest has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -11.43% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 3.03% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has averaged 63.9 points per game (2,366 points/37 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.7

Virginia has averaged 63.9 points per game (2,366 points/37 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.7

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Wake Forest is shooting 29% from three (155/532) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Wake Forest is shooting 28% from three (82/296) in the first half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wake Forest has averaged 11.7 assists per game (316 assists/27 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.6

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Virginia has allowed 57.7 points per game (2,136 points/37 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.5

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has averaged 7.3 steals per game (196 steals/27 games) this season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (101/364) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (480/1,187) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (218/717) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.