VMI vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:02 AM
  • Mercer (11-13) are -9.5 point favorites vs VMI (6-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The VMI Keydets (6-18) visit Hawkins Arena to take on the Mercer Bears (11-13) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Macon.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The VMI vs. Mercer Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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VMI vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
VMI+9.5 -115O 133.5 -110+340
Mercer -9.5 -105U 133.5 -110-450

VMI vs Mercer Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mercer will win this game with 67.2% confidence.

VMI vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts VMI will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both VMI and Mercer, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • VMI has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • VMI have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • VMI has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • VMI has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • VMI has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 away games (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)

VMI Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

VMI has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 3-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -40.99% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has gone 9-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -17.18% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI

VMI Offensive Stats & Trends:

VMI has made 11.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

VMI has 12.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

VMI has 13.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

VMI is shooting 37% from three (634/1,693) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 35%

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 13.5 assists per game (325 assists/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Mercer has a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 49%

Mercer has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mercer has averaged 10.7 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

VMI Defensive Stats & Trends:

VMI has averaged 5.2 steals per game (289 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

VMI has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,428 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1

VMI has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (555/1,633) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th highest among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 34%

VMI has allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,304 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Mercer has allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Mercer has allowed 69.6 points per game (3,967 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 70.6

Mercer has allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 8.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.