West Virginia vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
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  • UCF is a -3.5 point favorite vs West Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • West Virginia / UCF TV channel: FS1

The West Virginia Mountaineers visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Orlando, FL.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The West Virginia vs. UCF Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
West Virginia+3.5 -110O 138.5 -110+145
UCF -3.5 -110U 138.5 -110-180

West Virginia vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

West Virginia vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • West Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+15.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

West Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

West Virginia has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 0.28% ROI
  • 7-17 when betting the Over for -11.7 Units / -44.32% ROI
  • 17-7 when betting the Under for +9.3 Units / 35.23% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.34% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.5 Units / 4.28% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

West Virginia shot 47% (150/321) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 58%

West Virginia shot 47% from inside the arc (150/321) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 58%

West Virginia averaged 0.93 points per shot (300 points/321 shots) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.17

West Virginia shot 42% from inside the arc (157/377) in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (356 assists/ 392 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 15.1

UCF had an eFG% of 48% last season — 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UCF averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (389 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

West Virginia allowed 9.2 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

West Virginia allowed opponents to shoot 64% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/36) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

West Virginia allowed opponents to shoot 56% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (14/25) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

West Virginia allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,034 points/765 shots) in the second half last season — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF allowed 83.9 points per game (2,264 points/27 games) last season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

UCF forced 14.0 turnovers per game (448 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UCF has allowed 74.9 points per game (6,816 points/91 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 35th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.