Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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(AP Photo)
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  • Liberty is a -8.5 point favorite vs Western Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Western Kentucky / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Western Kentucky vs. Liberty Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 73.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Kentucky vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky is shooting 40% (630/1,580) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky is shooting 76% from the free throw line (465/615) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 70%

Western Kentucky has an eFG% of 47% this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Western Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (332 assists/ 262 TOs) this season — tied for best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,504 assists/ 879 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has an eFG% of 61% this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 52%

Liberty has averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (218 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Liberty is shooting 52% (704/1,364) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (899 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 42% (845/2,023) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Western Kentucky has forced 12.5 turnovers per game (312 turnovers/25 games) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 11.9

Western Kentucky has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (651 rebounds/25 games) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 25.1

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (170/546) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Liberty allowed 65.4 points per game (1,961 points/30 games) last season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,944 points/3,471 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Liberty allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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