Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

Middle Tennessee head coach Nick McDevitt yells to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Florida Atlantic, Thursday, Feb. 16, 2023, in Murfreesboro, Tenn. (AP Photo/Wade Payne)
(AP Photo/Wade Payne)
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  • Middle Tennessee is a -6.5 point favorite vs Western Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Western Kentucky / Middle Tennessee TV channel: CBSN

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers visit Murphy Center to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Murfreesboro, TN.

Middle Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky+6.5 -105O 137.5 -110+240
Middle Tennessee -6.5 -115U 137.5 -110-300

Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Middle Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -6.35% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.05 Units / -21.49% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -2.89% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky is shooting 40% (509/1,274) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky has an eFG% of 47% this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Western Kentucky has a TS% of 44% this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Western Kentucky averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (440 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee shot 30% from three (221/724) last season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Middle Tennessee averaged 65.0 points per game (2,014 points/31 games) last season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Middle Tennessee averaged 9.8 assists per game (305 assists/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Middle Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (305 assists/ 417 TOs) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky forced 13.6 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky has allowed 75.8 points per game (1,515 points/20 games) this season — 3rd highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 71.8

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (184/517) this season — tied for 42nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Western Kentucky has forced 12.6 turnovers per game (251 turnovers/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 12.2

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Middle Tennessee has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.9

Middle Tennessee has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 12.2

Middle Tennessee has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (6,013 points/5,001 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.