Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

• Western Kentucky is a -2.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
• Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
• Western Kentucky / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Springfield, MO.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.

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Western Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 49% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.85 Units / 62% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Missouri State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)
• Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Missouri State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.05% ROI).

• 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 6.5% ROI
• 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
• 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI).

• 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -28.7% ROI
• 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI
• 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky is shooting 77% from the free throw line (533/697) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (387 assists/ 289 TOs) this season — tied for best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Western Kentucky averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (440 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Western Kentucky has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/28 games) this season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (1,290/1,890) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Missouri State has made 7.6 three-pointers per game this season — 4th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 8.2

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (268/835) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky has allowed 74.7 points per game (2,091 points/28 games) this season — 3rd highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 73.0

Western Kentucky has allowed 8.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.9

Western Kentucky allowed 8.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State forced 9.2 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (744/1,640) this season — highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Missouri State averaged 4.4 steals per game (135 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

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