Western Michigan vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Ball State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Western Michigan / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Muncie, IN, USA.

Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Western Michigan vs. Ball State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+4.5 -110O 150.5 -110+165
Ball State -4.5 -110U 150.5 -110-200

Western Michigan vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this college basketball game with 52.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Michigan vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 17 away games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.1 Units / -30.81% ROI).

  • 4-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -19.97% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -32.04% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.45 Units / 19.66% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.33% ROI

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan averaged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (366 rebounds/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan is shooting 27% from three (100/368) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 42% free throw rate (1,148 free throw attempts/2,709 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ball State has attempted 503 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Ball State has a 49% free throw rate (503 free throw attempts/1,032 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ball State has 26.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has averaged 5.7 steals per game (290 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Western Michigan averaged 5.3 steals per game (169 steals/32 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Western Michigan averaged 5.3 steals per game (169 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Western Michigan has averaged 6.4 steals per game (121 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (102 steals/19 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Ball State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (267 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Ball State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (509 rebounds/19 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.1

Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.