Western Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

No 3 from Buffalo Bulls dribbling the NBA game ball while an opponent defends
(AP Photo)
  • Western Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Western Michigan / Buffalo TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Buffalo, NY, USA.

Western Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Western Michigan vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan-2.5 -105O 153.5 -115-135
Buffalo +2.5 -115U 153.5 -105+110

Western Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this college basketball game with 78.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Michigan vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 16 away games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 16 away games (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -16.29% ROI).

  • 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -10.88% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -12.67% ROI).

  • 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -15.7% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -9.06% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan is shooting 27% from three (133/492) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan has an eFG% of 46% this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Buffalo has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (365 turnovers/25 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan averaged 5.3 steals per game (169 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Western Michigan averaged 5.3 steals per game (169 steals/32 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Western Michigan has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (611 rebounds/25 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Western Michigan has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,378 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (652 rebounds/25 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.