Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 30

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  • Toledo is a -11.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Western Michigan / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets on Dec. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Toledo, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Western Michigan vs. Toledo Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 76.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Michigan vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 32 games (+3.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+0.90 Units / 2% ROI)

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 4.28% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -11.75% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan is shooting 66% from the free throw line (924/1,395) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan has averaged 1.19 points per shot (5,438 points/4,589 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Western Michigan averaged 1.16 points per shot (2,250 points/1,941 shots) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (329/686) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,158/4,478) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (1,242/2,574) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan is shooting 66% from the free throw line (924/1,395) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan has averaged 1.19 points per shot (5,438 points/4,589 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Western Michigan averaged 1.16 points per shot (2,250 points/1,941 shots) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (329/686) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,158/4,478) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (1,242/2,574) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%


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