Wisconsin vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NIT, Mar. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 28, 2023, 12:05 PM
  • North Texas (29-7) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Wisconsin (20-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 114.5 points
  • Watch this NIT Tournament game on ESPN

The Wisconsin Badgers (20-14) visit Orleans Arena to take on the North Texas Mean Green (29-7) on Mar. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Las Vegas.

North Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Wisconsin vs. North Texas Over/Under is 114.5 total points.

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Wisconsin vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wisconsin+1.5 -110O 114.5 -110+105
North Texas -1.5 -110U 114.5 -110-125

Wisconsin vs North Texas Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Texas will win this NIT Tournament game with 52.3% confidence.

Wisconsin vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and North Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Wisconsin has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+16.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 50 games (+20.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games (+13.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Wisconsin Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wisconsin has gone 15-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.85 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 8.18% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has gone 18-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 27-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.8 Units / 7.41% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -7.22% ROI

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wisconsin has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (187 turnovers/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Wisconsin is shooting 66% from the free throw line (194/295) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Wisconsin has averaged 68.5 points per game (2,260 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Wisconsin has averaged 4.0 turnovers per game (85 turnovers/21 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 10.8 assists per game (594 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 13.1

North Texas has averaged 63.7 points per game (3,504 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2

North Texas has averaged 61.8 points per game (1,421 points/23 games) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

North Texas has averaged 10.5 assists per game (241 assists/23 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wisconsin has 141 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Big 10 Teams

Wisconsin has averaged 5.4 steals per game (114 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Wisconsin has averaged 6.7 steals per game (141 steals/21 games) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Wisconsin has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,216 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Texas has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/23 games) this season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 24.1

North Texas has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (477 rebounds/23 games) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Texas has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,216 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.