Xavier vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
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  • Butler is a -3.5 point favorite vs Xavier
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Xavier / Butler TV channel: TNT | tru

The Xavier Musketeers visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 1:30 pm in Indianapolis, IN.

Butler is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Xavier vs. Butler Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier+3.5 -110O 159.5 -105+140
Butler -3.5 -110U 159.5 -115-170

Xavier vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Butler will win this college basketball game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Xavier vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Butler will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Butler vs Xavier and all games with BetMGM


  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (233 assists/ 125 TOs) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.5

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (474 assists/ 269 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Xavier has a 28% free throw rate (457 free throw attempts/1,656 field goal attempts) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 36%

Xavier is shooting 37% from three (761/2,056) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has 25.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 20.6

Butler shot 38% from three (132/348) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Butler has a 42% free throw rate (875 free throw attempts/2,071 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (241/723) last season — 5th highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Xavier forced 11.4 turnovers per game (377 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Xavier has forced 11.7 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/26 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Xavier allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (107/331) in the second half last season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (353/1,112) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler forced 7.7 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Butler allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (104/344) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler forced 7.5 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/28 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3


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