Xavier vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
  • Xavier is a -3.5 point favorite vs Butler
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Xavier / Butler TV channel: CBSSN

The Xavier Musketeers visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Xavier vs. Butler Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier-3.5 -115O 155.5 -115-175
Butler +3.5 -105U 155.5 -105+145

Xavier vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Xavier will win this college basketball game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Xavier vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Xavier will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Xavier has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.39 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+5.66 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+4.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.88 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.75 Units / 11.77% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.9 Units / 2.89% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.65 Units / -14.55% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.34% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.25 Units / -3.94% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.65 Units / -19.05% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (234 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

Xavier is shooting 79% from the free throw line (488/618) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Xavier has made 488 free throws this season — most among Big East Teams

Xavier is shooting 38% from three (237/618) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler shot 38% from three (132/348) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Butler averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (324 turnovers/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Butler is shooting 38% from three (261/695) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (881 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Xavier averaged 6.9 steals per game (229 steals/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Xavier stole the ball 229 times last season — 4th most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 7.4 steals per game (459 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has forced 7.2 turnovers per game (165 turnovers/23 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.4

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (162/553) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has averaged 3.7 steals per game (108 steals/29 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (213/696) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.