- Providence is a -6.5 point favorite vs Xavier
- Total (Over/Under): 172.5 points
- Xavier / Providence TV channel: tru
The Xavier Musketeers visit Amica Mutual Pavilion to take on the Providence Friars on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Providence, RI.
Providence is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Xavier vs. Providence Over/Under is 172.5 total points.
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Xavier vs. Providence Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Xavier vs Providence Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Providence will win this college basketball game with 68.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Xavier vs Providence Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Xavier Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Xavier has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Xavier have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Xavier have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Providence Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Providence has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- Providence have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Xavier has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6.25% ROI).
- 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.03% ROI
- 18-7 when betting the Over for +10.3 Units / 34.68% ROI
- 7-18 when betting the Under for -12.8 Units / -43.1% ROI
Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Providence has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6.24% ROI).
- 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 0.18% ROI
- 19-8 when betting the Over for +10.2 Units / 34.34% ROI
- 8-19 when betting the Under for -12.9 Units / -43.43% ROI
Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:
Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (239 assists/ 126 TOs) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.5
Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (487 assists/ 276 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4
Xavier is shooting 39% from three (388/1,003) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%
Xavier is shooting 40% from three (265/668) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%
Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:
Providence has averaged 1.51 points per shot (1,211 points/801 shots) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.37
Providence is shooting 77% from the free throw line (313/405) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 72%
Providence has averaged 44.9 points per game (1,211 points/27 games) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 39.8
Providence has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:
Xavier has averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,436 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Xavier has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/38 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 10.9
Xavier averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (881 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Xavier has allowed 37.8 points per game (1,021 points/27 games) in the first half this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34.7
Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:
Providence has allowed 88.0 points per game (1,848 points/21 games) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 79.4
Providence has allowed 44.0 points per game (1,189 points/27 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 37.9
Providence allowed opponents to shoot 42% (872/2,094) last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Providence has allowed 84.7 points per game (2,288 points/27 games) this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 73.5
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