Yale vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NIT, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2023, 12:22 PM
  • Vanderbilt (20-14) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Yale (21-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Watch this NIT Tournament game on ESPNU

The Yale Bulldogs (21-8) visit Memorial Gymnasium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (20-14) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Nashville.

Vanderbilt is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Yale vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Yale vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Yale+3.5 -110O 146.5 -110+140
Vanderbilt -3.5 -110U 146.5 -110-165

Yale vs Vanderbilt Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Yale will win this NIT Tournament game with 51.6% confidence.

Yale vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Yale and Vanderbilt, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Yale has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Yale has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Yale have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Yale has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Yale has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+19.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+18.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)

Yale Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Yale has gone 17-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -12.08% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI

Vanderbilt Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vanderbilt has gone 19-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / 6.68% ROI).

  • 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -9.27% ROI
  • 20-14 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 14-20 when betting the Under for -8 Units / -21.39% ROI

Yale Offensive Stats & Trends:

Yale has averaged 10.9 turnovers per game (316 turnovers/29 games) this season — best among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Yale has 18.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 16.8

Yale has averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (259 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 8.8

Yale is shooting 48% (817/1,698) this season — best among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 45%

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt is shooting 42% (546/1,311) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Vanderbilt is shooting 32% from three (177/551) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Vanderbilt has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Vanderbilt is shooting 42% (1,395/3,312) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Yale Defensive Stats & Trends:

Yale has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (772 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd best among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Yale has averaged 6.3 steals per game (183 steals/29 games) this season — 4th lowest among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Yale has averaged 6.3 steals per game (376 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Yale has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,569 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.2 steals per game (114 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.5 steals per game (375 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.3 steals per game (146 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.5 steals per game (229 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.