Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2023, 1:19 PM
  • New Mexico (19-4) are -4.5 point favorites vs Nevada (18-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Nevada Wolf Pack (18-6) visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos (19-4) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Albuquerque.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Nevada vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada+4.5 -115O 150.5 -110+150
New Mexico -4.5 -105U 150.5 -110-185

Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 60.4% confidence.

Nevada vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and New Mexico, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on New Mexico vs Nevada and all games with BetMGM


  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games at home (+14.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has gone 15-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 20.39% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has gone 13-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.15 Units / 13.04% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.35 Units / 15.65% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.25 Units / 21.74% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.52% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Nevada has made 4.9 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Nevada is shooting 20% from three (4/20) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 40%

Nevada is shooting 20% (4/20) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 40%

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 0.7 turnovers per game (7 turnovers/10 games) in half court possessions this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

New Mexico has averaged 0.6 turnovers per game (6 turnovers/10 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 10.4

New Mexico has 23.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

New Mexico is shooting 60% from three (6/10) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 40%

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (607 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Nevada has allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Nevada has forced 13.0 turnovers per game (704 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,534 points/1,276 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (662 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

New Mexico has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,644 points/1,412 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

New Mexico has allowed 7.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

New Mexico has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (597/1,412) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.