- Hawaii is a -3 point favorite vs. New Mexico State
- Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- Watch the game on Spectrum Sports
The New Mexico State Aggies (2-2) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on the Hawai’i Warriors (1-2) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00am EDT in Honolulu.
Hawaii is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The New Mexico State vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 4
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +3 -110 | 57.5 -115 | +125 |
| Hawaii | -3 -110 | 57.5 -105 | -150 |
New Mexico State vs Hawaii Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Hawaii will win this game with 54.3% confidence.
New Mexico State vs Hawaii Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 75.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Hawaii, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+15.45 Units / 300% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+6.20 Units / 119% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Hawaii Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Hawaii have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+3.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jamoni Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Hawaii Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Hawaii players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brayden Schager has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 111% ROI)
- Brayden Schager has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Tylan Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Steven McBride has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Tylan Hines has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- New Mexico State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- New Mexico State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- New Mexico State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hawaii is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Hawaii is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Hawaii is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Hawaii is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii
New Mexico State is 1-11 (.083) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .438
New Mexico State is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .429
New Mexico State is 1-16 (.059) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .426
New Mexico State is 4-17 (.190) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .400
Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Hawai’i is winless (0-10) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .425
Hawai’i is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .445
Hawai’i was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Hawai’i is winless (0-12) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .429
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Hawaii
Hawai’i’s WRs has 85 receptions in 4 games (21.2 per game) this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 15.2 receptions per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i has 107 receptions in 4 games (26.8 per game) this season — 12th-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 15.2 receptions per game this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i has averaged just 10.2 yards after the catch this season — tied for 30th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC this season — tied for 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Hawai’i’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs has rushed for 576 yards on 79 carries (7.3 YPC) this season — tied for fifth-best among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC to RBs this season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State WRs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico State Skill Players have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (1,325 yards/71 catches) on 1st down since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
New Mexico State WRs have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (1,081 yards/52 catches) on 1st down since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6
New Mexico State Skill Players averaged 19.7 yards per reception (610 yards/31 catches) on 1st down in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
New Mexico State RBs averaged 15.2 yards per reception (182 yards/12 catches) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.2
Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i RBs have been targeted 9.7 times per game (290/30) since the 2021 season– 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Hawai’i QBs have 35 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2021 season– 4th most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i RBs have been targeted 290 times since the 2021 season– 2nd most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i RBs have been targeted 4.9 times per game (146/30) in the 1st half since the 2021 season– 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.3
Hawai’i Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.2 receptions (64 Rec/20 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed 120.8 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 171.2
New Mexico State allowed 111.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 170.3
New Mexico State intercepted 2 of 22 attempts (11.0 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.6
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (22 completions/49 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%
New Mexico State intercepted 2 of 22 attempts (11.0 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 37.0
Hawai’i Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (28 completions/34 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (28 completions/34 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%
Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (3 completions/12 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 61%
Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (32 completions/40 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 59%
Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (45 completions/56 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%
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