The New York Giants have the lowest win total of any NFC East team (7) and the worst odds to win the division (+500). They do, however, sit alongside the Dallas Cowboys in straight forecast divisional odds – i.e., pick the first- and-second place teams in exact order – with the best odds for a Cowboys-Giants 1-2 finish (+350).
And why do the Philadelphia Eagles have the NFC East’s lowest win total but rank third in divisional odds? Why is a 1-2 finish for the Cowboys and the Washington Football Team – the teams with the two best divisional odds – buried at +575 but their dual forecast divisional odds – i.e., pick the first- and second-place teams in any order – lead the East at +170?
The NFC East, one year removed from a miserable season in which they produced the third-ever sub-.500 division champion, is the only division without a team at 10 or higher in win totals and one of only two divisions with two teams (Eagles and Giants) at +2500 or greater for fewest regular-season wins. And while divisions typically rebound from a miserable season in the form of at least one team winning 11, 12 or 13 games, the NFL odds suggest that’s unlikely.