As the playoff races heat up, NFL betting is also getting more interesting. The Week 15 slate features two road favorites from the NFC North that I believe are undervalued by NFL betting lines. These are the three games that I think offer the best odds for favored teams:
- Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Baltimore Ravens
- Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Chicago Bears
- Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-8.5)
Read on to learn more about my NFL best bets for Week 15.
Green Bay Packers (-5.5) at Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson sprained his right ankle last week and left the game. If Jackson plays this week, he may not be as mobile as usual, which may spell trouble for the Ravens. If Jackson can’t play, Tyler Huntley will get the start.
Green Bay averages 2.3 sacks per game, and the Packers defense is facing a Ravens offensive line that had to play without starting right tackle Patrick Mekari in Week 14. Mekari’s status for Week 15 remains up in the air. The Ravens are already last in the NFL in sacks allowed per game (3.6). Without Mekari in the lineup, I expect either Jackson or Huntley to be under pressure all game.
Green Bay’s defense ranks top ten in passing yards allowed, points allowed, and rushing yards allowed. I believe the Packers’ defense will shut down Baltimore, who’s lost three out of their last five games and scored an average of only 16.6 points during that span.
Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Chicago Bears
The Minnesota Vikings have the third-best offense in the NFL in terms of yards per game. However, the Minnesota defense ranks near the league’s bottom in nearly every category. Minnesota ranks 29th in yards allowed per game, 28th in first downs allowed, and 25th in points allowed per game.
Fortunately for the Vikings, the Bears don’t have the offensive firepower to take advantage of their defense. Chicago averages just 302.5 yards per game on offense, the second-worst mark in the NFL. They also score an average of 17.8 points per game.
Another reason that I think the Vikings will win and cover is because of their ability to rush the passer. The Vikings are second in the NFL in sack percentage per game. They get to the quarterback on 8.18% of dropbacks. Meanwhile, the Bears give up the second-most sacks per game (3.2). If the Bears can’t protect their quarterback, I don’t believe they’ll score enough points to keep up with the Vikings.
Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)
The Atlanta Falcons have the 23rd-ranked run defense in the NFL. Atlanta is allowing 117.1 rushing yards per contest, and that’s a big problem against this 49ers team. San Francisco ranks 8th in the NFL in rushing yards per game and rushing attempts per game.
The 49ers are fifth in the league in rushing touchdowns per game, tied with the Cleveland Browns. Given Atlanta’s struggles defending the run, the 49ers should be able to pound the ball on the ground and wear down this Atlanta defense.
San Francisco allows just 213.2 passing yards per game, the sixth-best mark in the NFL. Over his past five games, Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown five interceptions and just two touchdowns. I think the 49ers will use their running game to control the clock, and I don’t believe that the Falcons can move the ball against San Francisco’s secondary.
Analyzing the NFL Best Bets for Week 15
The Packers get to play either an injured Lamar Jackson or his backup, and I love the Packers’ chances to cover in Week 15. Another one of my NFL best bets, the Vikings, will face off against one of the worst offenses in the NFL. I also like the 49ers to run the ball effectively and shut down the Atlanta offense on Sunday.
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