Believe it or not, we’re already about a quarter of the way through the NFL season. Week 5 of the NFL is upon us, and so are plenty of NFL betting opportunities. At this point in the season, we can see which teams are living up to expectations and which teams are falling short.
Having a clearer picture of how teams are going to play gives me more confidence in predicting games.
Here’s a look at my NFL best bets for Week 5.
Saints at Washington (+1.5)
Although the Saints had a lackluster showing at home on Sunday against the lowly Giants, I think there is value on them as slight favorites in this spot. This New Orleans’ defense has been off to a hot start and is 5th best in the league in points allowed per game at 17.2.
I expect this young Washington team to struggle with the Saints’ strong defense and disappoint at home in Week 5.
Broncos at Steelers (O/U 40.5)
When’s the last time you saw the Steelers look this dysfunctional? Not only are they 1-3, but Pittsburgh is also averaging less than 15 points per game in their last three matchups.
Meanwhile, the Broncos could only muster seven points against the Ravens on Sunday. Granted, Broncos quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater, exited that game with a concussion, but their offensive woes were evident before he left.
This game in Pittsburgh should be a sluggish, low-scoring affair. I think 40.5 points is too many for these teams.
49ers at Cardinals (-3.5)
This week, The NFL odds only have the Cardinals as small favorites against the 49ers, and I’m not sure why.
The Cardinals have the best offense in football. They lead the league in both points and yards. They’re not only moving the ball with ease, but they’re finishing their drives strong and finding the end zone.
As for the 49ers, they showed many flaws on Sunday. Unfortunately, I don’t expect them to get better anytime soon because of injuries riddling the roster.
I believe the Cardinals should dominate the 49ers in this game, and covering the short spread shouldn’t be a problem.
Lions at Vikings (O/U 49.5)
Both the Lions and the Vikings were disappointing in Week 4. That’s expected when you’re facing formidable defenses, though.
This matchup should be a complete change of pace compared to these teams’ Week 4 showings. So far, the Lions are struggling on defense, and the Vikings aren’t much better, allowing 23 points per game to their opponents.
In a high-scoring game that should have little defense, the over is intriguing.
Eagles at Panthers (-3.5)
The Panthers didn’t do much against the Cowboys in Week 4, but I believe they’ll be able to right the ship at home against the Eagles.
Although the Panthers’ offense isn’t the same without Christian McCaffrey, the defense seems to be the real deal. They’ve allowed only 16.5 points per game to their opponents so far this season.
I believe Jalen Hurts and the inexperienced Eagles’ offense should have problems with the Panthers’ stout defensive line. If they can pressure the Eagles’ young quarterback, Hurts will become more turnover-prone.
Remember, Hurts threw 2 INTs a couple of weeks ago when pressured by the Cowboys’ pass rush.
Led by the defense, I expect Sam Darnold and the Panthers to overpower the Eagles in Week 5.
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