It’s that time of year again. The Super Bowl’s only a couple of weeks away, but first, we have the conference championship games. This weekend’s NFL odds show both home teams as favorites.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 7.5 point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals, and the Los Angeles Rams will play host to the San Francisco 49ers as 3.5 point favorites. Let’s dive deeper into these football spreads to see where the betting edges lie.
Bengals (+7.5) at Chiefs
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 30th
- Time: 3:00 P.M. EST
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
It’s tough to bet against the Chiefs right now. They’re averaging 42 points per game in the playoffs, and Patrick Mahomes is on fire. He has nine total postseason touchdowns and a 75.9% completion rate.
Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati offense haven’t been as effective, averaging only 22.5 points per playoff game. Their defense has been a bright spot, though. They have tallied four interceptions and a fumble recovery in their two playoff games while only allowing 35 total points.
These teams played earlier this month on Jan. 2nd. The Bengals pulled off the upset in that game and won 34-31 behind Joe Burrow’s 446 passing yards and four touchdowns. The Bengals even allowed four sacks and were only 4 of 10 on 3rd down conversions and still came away with the win.
I don’t know if they’ll pull off the upset again, but I think Cincinnati will keep the game close. They haven’t lost by over seven points since Week 13. Kansas City also allows the sixth-most passing yards per game (251.9), so if the game turns into a shootout, I believe that the Bengals and Joe Burrow should be able to keep pace.
49ers at Rams (-3.5)
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 30th
- Time: 6:30 P.M. EST
- Venue: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA
The 49ers swept the season series versus the Rams, but I think the Rams will win at SoFi in this game.
With the resurgence of the Rams’ running game, the offense has looked much improved. Since Cam Akers has come back and taken the lead role in the backfield, the Rams are 2-0 and have put up 213 rushing yards in those two games combined. One of those games was against the third-ranked rushing defense of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Before Akers was handling the bulk of the carries, the Rams only mustered 137 total yards on the ground in their last two regular-season games. If the Rams can establish a running game, they can take some pressure off Stafford, who the 49ers picked off four times in their two matchups.
Betting on Football Spreads in the Conference Championships
Will the Bengals’ defense be able to slow down Mahomes? Could the Rams’ revamped running game cause problems for the 49ers?
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