The 2021 NFL season is flying by, with half of the regular season completed. At this stage, we have a good idea of who the contenders and the pretenders are.
We also know which players are the leading contenders for the NFL MVP. BetMGM’s NFL odds have QB Josh Allen as the favorite to win the award going into Week 10.
Is Allen on pace to win it, or is somebody else a better choice for the Most Valuable Player award? Let’s break this down.
NFL MVP Odds
At the NFL midseason, here are the odds for ten of the top candidates to win MVP.
- QB Josh Allen +350
- QB Tom Brady +375
- QB Kyler Murray +475
- QB Matthew Stafford +650
- QB Aaron Rodgers +900
- QB Dak Prescott +900
- QB Lamar Jackson +1100
- QB Justin Herbert +2200
- QB Derek Carr +3000
- QB Ryan Tannehill +4000
As you can see, all of the top names in the odds are quarterbacks, which should come as no surprise. In the last 14 seasons, there has only been one non-QB on the list of NFL MVP winners. That lone exception was RB Adrian Peterson back in 2012.
Who Stands Out?
So, the odds certainly favor a QB winning again this year, and many of these players have put up solid arguments to win the award. However, I believe that the two players to watch are Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers.
Brady’s argument resides on two things. The first thing is his age because he is 44 years old and by far the oldest active player in the NFL, and he is putting up some of the best numbers in his career.
The second part of his argument is those numbers because he leads the league in average passing yards per game (331.3) and touchdown passes (25). On top of that, Brady has turned the Buccaneers into a contender to win back-to-back Super Bowls. Before Brady arrived, the Bucs were seldom relevant.
Then, you have Rodgers, whose COVID status has led to some controversy over the past week.
But, there is no denying his importance to the Green Bay Packers’ success after the last two weeks. First, he led the Packers to an upset over the Cardinals in Arizona while missing three of their top WRs. Then, last week, the Packers only scored seven points against the lowly Chiefs’ defense with Rodgers out.
His overall numbers are not as impressive as Brady’s, with just 237 passing yards per game and 17 touchdown passes. However, one thing he has been good at statistically is avoiding interceptions.
Rodgers has just three interceptions on the season. Of all QBs that have played in eight or more games this season, the only one that has thrown fewer interceptions than Rodgers is Kirk Cousins, with just two.
A Longshot Pick
One more player not on that list might be worth a longshot pick, WR Cooper Kupp. Going into Week 10, Kupp leads the NFL in receiving yards (1,019) and touchdown receptions (10).
The next closest WR is 237 yards behind him, and the next closest in touchdowns has two fewer than Kupp.
On top of this, the NFL could do something historic by awarding Kupp as MVP because no WR has ever won the award. Even a kicker has won the award, so it might be time to show a WR some love.
Who Will Win NFL MVP?
These are the latest sports betting odds for who will win the NFL MVP. Do you agree with the favorites, or do you think someone else will win the award?
You can bet on your MVP pick here at BetMGM. Create an account and place your bets today on all the NFL action this season.