The Top NFL Over-Unders in the First Round of the Playoffs

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(AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
BetMGM Staff @BETMGM Jan 11, 2022, 5:18 AM

The NFL playoffs are finally here, and many bettors are looking for the best over-under bets for the Wild Card weekend. After checking out the NFL playoff odds, two totals that offer great value stick out to me.

Read on for the NFL playoff over-unders that I think have the most value for bettors this week.

Patriots at Bills Over 44

  • Date: Saturday, Jan. 15th
  • Time: 8:15 P.M. EST
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

When these two teams last met, the Buffalo Bills defeated the New England Patriots 33-21 in Foxborough. Josh Allen had a better performance than in their first meeting (15-of-30 for 145 yards) and threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns.

On the other sideline, Mac Jones threw for 145 yards and two interceptions. Even without Jones adding any touchdowns, that game still went over this matchup’s projected total of 43.5 points, reaching 54.

I wouldn’t be surprised if this game got close to 60 total points. The Bills are playing well offensively and have averaged 29.4 points in their last five games. The Patriots have averaged 25.2 points in their previous five games.

Both teams have elite defenses. The Bills are the top-ranked team in points allowed, and the Patriots are second. I believe these rankings are misleading, though, as Buffalo and New England have had the 3rd and 8th easiest strength of schedules this year, respectively.

I expect both offenses to continue scoring efficiently, so I’ll take the over.

49ers at Cowboys Under 50.5

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 16th
  • Time: 4:30 P.M. EST
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

Yes, the Dallas Cowboys just ended the year scoring more than 50 points in two of their last three games, but I still like the under in this one.

Even though the Dallas offense has looked explosive of late, we have to consider the competition. Dallas has scored 50 points in two of their past three games, but the Cowboys were facing the 18th-ranked Philadelphia Eagles defense and the 25th-ranked Washington Football Team defense.

Both Washington and Philly rank outside the top 15 in the opponent red zone scoring percentage, an area where the Cowboys thrive on offense, ranking 6th (63.08 percent).

This week, the Cowboys face the San Francisco 49ers, who have an all-around elite defense. They rank ninth in points allowed (21.5) and third in yards allowed (310). They also rank 15th in opponent red zone scoring, so they should have a better chance to slow Dallas down near the goal line.

The Cowboys also have a top-tier defense. They currently rank seventh in points allowed and allow the sixth-fewest touchdowns in the NFL

NFL Playoff Over-Unders: First-Round Best Bets

Do you think the Cowboys and 49ers will be locked in a defensive struggle? What about the Patriots and Bills competing in a shootout?

Whichever NFL playoff over-unders you like the most, make sure to place your bets at the best online sportsbook. BetMGM has all the most up-to-date odds on every NFL playoff game. Create your account today, and you could receive a risk-free initial bet of up to $1,000.

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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.