Eight teams remain in the hunt for the Lombardi Trophy. While we have the NFL betting odds right here at BetMGM, there are multiple arguments on who the favorite is to win the Super Bowl.
Is it the defending champs, Kansas City? Is it the team with the likely MVP at quarterback, Green Bay? Is it the red-hot Buffalo Bills? Or the well-balanced New Orleans Saints?
Of course, each of those fan bases will make a case for their team. Here, we’re going to power rank the remaining eight teams from least likely to most likely to win the Super Bowl.
NOTE: This ranking is not based on BetMGM’s Super Bowl odds but is the author's opinion.
8. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams defeated Seattle on the road in impressive fashion to advance. But now they face the No. 1 seed in the NFC, Green Bay.
LA put up 30 points on a Seahawks defense that was playing solid ball late in the season. John Wolford got the start at QB but was knocked out of the game. Jared Goff then returned to action from his thumb injury, going 9-of-19 throwing for 155 yards and one touchdown.
The Ram’s defense going against Green Bay’s offense will be a fantastic matchup. It’s questionable how much juice this team has overall to take down the Packers, though.
7. Cleveland Browns
Cleveland looked damned good last weekend, dominating Pittsburgh with a 28-0 first-quarter lead and a 35-10 advantage at halftime. Now, the Browns slipped a bit in the second half and let the Steelers make it interesting before winning 48-37.
The big reason for the Browns being lower on this list is about the matchup. After all, this a ranking of least and most likely teams to win the Super Bowl. Cleveland faces No. 1 AFC seed Kansas City and is the biggest underdog of the week at +10.
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady had one of his best years statistically during the regular season. That carried over in the Wild Card round with 381 yards passing and two scores.
But the Bucs had trouble putting away a 7-9 Washington team led by QB Taylor Heinicke, winning 31-23. That is a concern heading into this week’s game against Drew Brees and the Saints.
5. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens, most notably QB Lamar Jackson, silenced doubters in their 20-13 opening-round road win against Tennessee.
That’s now six-straight wins for Baltimore. The Ravens have scored 34 or more points in four of those wins, while the defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in five of the six victories. Their game against Buffalo should be the most exciting Divisional Round game.
4. New Orleans Saints
With a strong defense, the Saints don’t need to score 30 points a game, as evident by their 21-9 win against Chicago last week. The deeper New Orleans goes, the better the offense needs to play, though.
The Saints have some of the best weapons on offense with Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara. Drew Brees may not be playing to the level of Tom Brady in his elder years, but he’s still not a bad choice at all to lead a team in the postseason. Could this be the last Brees vs. Brady game?
3. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo defeated Indianapolis 27-24 in a nerve-wracking game for Bills Mafia. The Bills are now on a seven-game winning streak entering this weekend’s game against Baltimore.
It’s been a storybook season for Buffalo. Josh Allen has turned elite. Landing Stefon Diggs in the offseason was a home run. The team won its first playoff game in 25 years. And the Bills get to host another playoff game in front of some fans. This team has Super Bowl aspirations, and the dream shouldn’t die this weekend against the Ravens.
2. Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers is the betting favorite to win the NFL MVP award. He’s having a career year as Green Bay is winners of six straight. The Packers have scored 30 or more points in five of those six wins.
Coming off of a bye week, the Packers are rested and face a beat-up Rams team. Not only are they favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, there is a legit argument to pick the Packers to win it all.
1. Kansas City Chiefs
It’s been well-noted that the Chiefs had a lot of close calls against struggling teams late in the regular season. They weren’t exactly dominating as one would expect.
Maybe they were just coasting with an eye on the ultimate prize. We all know the defending Super Bowl champs can turn it on unlike any other team. The offense can go videogame mode at any time. It won’t be easy getting out of the AFC side of the bracket. But bet against Kansas City at your own risk.
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Sam Herder is a writer for BetMGM and HERO Sports. A North Dakota State journalism grad, he spent several years in the print media industry before writing for online outlets. Sam has covered sports at all levels — high school, college, and professional — since 2011.