Any given Sunday. That’s the mantra I like to follow when looking at NFL underdog betting lines. Last week we saw the Texans (who were 1-8 at the time) upset the Titans, proving that underdogs can give us great value, especially on the road.
Do you have any road dogs you like in Week 12? Personally, there are three road underdogs on the current NFL betting lines that intrigue me most.
Vikings (+3) at 49ers
You might not have heard, but Kirk Cousins is having the best season of his career.
Right now, Cousins ranks 3rd in passer rating at 106.3, two tenths higher than Tom Brady.
On intermediate passes, he has a 79.4 completion percentage and a 148.2 passer rating. Cousins holds the highest ratings on both these stats among all QBs.
Cousins has simply been shredding teams apart through the air.
Still, we can’t forget how sturdy this 49ers defense has been. They rank 11th in points allowed per game (22.2) and 6th in yards allowed per game (318.3).
Even so, I don’t think the 49ers will be able to shut down the Vikings’ offense completely. Minnesota ranks eighth in passing yards per game (267.8), and they’ve only thrown two interceptions this year.
If San Fransisco can slow down Cousins, I expect Dalvin Cook to pick up the slack on offense and do enough to overcome the 49ers.
Rams (+1) at Packers
The Rams have been disappointing in their last couple of showings. First, they lost 28-16 to the Titans before losing 31-10 to the 49ers.
However, I think that they will rebound against the Packers this week.
Currently, the Rams 1-0 ATS as an underdog this season and 1-0 ATS with the rest advantage.
People might also forget how potent the Los Angeles offense can be. They rank 7th in points per game with 27.1 and 1st in yards per play with 6.2.
The LA defense may also cause problems for Aaron Rogers in this game as they are currently 9th in yards allowed per pass (6.6).
This shows that the Rams like to take away the long-ball, which is the type of plays Rodgers thrives on.
I think that the Rams will get the win in Green Bay because of their defense and rest advantage.
Seahawks (+1) at Washington
Russell Wilson hasn’t been the same since his finger surgery, but I think he’ll look more like himself again in this matchup.
He’s been progressively getting better each game back, and facing a weak Washington pass defense this week should give him many opportunities.
Washington’s defense has been a big letdown this year. They rank 28th in both points per game allowed (26.7) and in pass yards per game (270.0).
In Wilson’s four career starts against Washington, he is 3-1. I believe that trend will continue in Week 12.
Best NFL Underdog Betting Lines for Week 12
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