NFL underdog odds in Week 14 offer bettors some decent spreads and money lines. Examples include the Pittsburgh Steelers (+3, +140) at the Minnesota Vikings and the Washington Football Team (+4, +160) at home versus the Dallas Cowboys.
Are these worthwhile wagers this week? Let’s find out where there’s some real value among NFL odds.
Steelers (+3) vs. Vikings
I think the Steelers have a realistic chance of at least covering the spread if not winning outright. Pittsburgh faced Baltimore last week, who has the number one run defense in the NFL (84.3 yards per game) and got 71 yards from Najee Harris. This week, they’ll face the 29th ranked run defense (131.5 per game). Against the Detroit Lions in Week 10, who have a statistically similar run defense (131.1 per game), Harris ran for 105.
Minnesota’s passing defense also gives up the 10th most yards per game in the league.
Pittsburgh leads the league in sacks, and with Dalvin Cook and Adam Thielen expected to sit out this game, Kirk Cousins will have two fewer weapons to use. I’m not sure if Minnesota can get the production they’ll need from the running game to slow down Pittsburgh’s pass blitz, and losing Adam Thielen takes away some of Minnesota’s explosiveness.
This game should be exciting, but I don’t think Minnesota can get the win on short rest while missing two of their top offensive weapons.
My prediction: Steelers 25, Vikings 21
Cowboys vs. Washington Football Team (+4)
The WFT is on a four-game winning streak, including victories against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Carolina Panthers, and Seattle Seahawks.
On the road against the Las Vegas Raiders last week, the WFT put up the same 17-15 score as they did in the previous week at home against the Seahawks.
The Raiders put up 509 total yards against the Cowboys in Dallas in their 36-33 overtime victory on Thanksgiving Day. Last week, Washington went into Las Vegas and kept the Raiders’ total yards to 310 while also keeping Derek Carr out of the end zone.
Washington’s defense has improved over the past few weeks against some tough competition. They allow the third-fewest rushing yards per game (91.3), and over the past four weeks, they have only allowed 17.5 points per game. On offense, Taylor Heinicke has played well, throwing seven touchdown passes and only two interceptions during the WFT’s current winning streak.
The Cowboys have lost three out of their last five games. They’ve only scored 20 points or more twice in those games against the Atlanta Falcons and Raiders. I believe that Washington’s improved defense and the Cowboys’ recent struggles make this an attractive pick for bettors.
My prediction: Washington 27, Cowboys 24
What NFL Underdog Odds Excite You This Week?
What do you think? Which NFL underdog odds do you like the best in Week 14? Do you like the odds for these games, or are you leaning more towards placing a bet on the Falcons as 2.5-point underdogs at Carolina? Sign up for an account with the best online sportsbook, BetMGM, and place your bets today.
NFL Over/Under Odds at BetMGM
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