Turkey, cranberry sauce, and football. Is there anything better than football on Thanksgiving? NFL Week 12 is here with some Thanksgiving football on the slate. BetMGM has the latest NFL odds for those games and more as bettors look to make this holiday week a little more memorable.
But, of all the NFL games on the slate this week, which ones have the best bets? Here are four that I think you should consider.
To me, this feels like a great set-up for the Detroit Lions to finally get their first win of the season. They have been very competitive in their last two weeks on the road, losing last week by just three points and tying the week before.
Earlier in the season, I questioned whether Nagy would last as the Bears’ coach until Week 12, in large part because of the quarterback situation. Now, in Week 12, the Bears face similar issues, which has led to Andy Dalton slated to start on Thursday.
There have only been three winless teams in the Super Bowl era during full seasons, and I do not think this Lions team will join that list. In my opinion, the dysfunction of the Bears’ coaching staff, combined with the running ability of D’Andre Swift against the Bears’ 24th ranked run defense (122.8 yards per game), will lead to a Detroit win.
Tennessee is coming off about as bad of a loss as it gets in my mind, getting upset at home by the divisional rival Houston Texans. Now, they need to bounce back quickly for a game in Foxborough.
Have the Patriots been playing well lately? Absolutely, considering they have won their last two games by a combined score of 70-7 and now lead the AFC East.
However, it is hard for me not to take a team as talented as the Titans when they are getting this many points, especially when WR A.J. Brown may not miss any significant time.
The Titans are tied for the best record in the NFL as an underdog ATS at 5-0.
I am not saying the Titans will win this game, but I think it is a mistake to give a talented 8-3 team like Tennessee this many points in any game.
Chargers-Broncos Under 47
I have loved the under in almost every Denver game this season because they are 8-2 on under bets this year, and this game is no different.
Denver does a decent job at controlling the clock, averaging 31:34 in time of possession per game, which is eighth in the league.
If that was not enough, the Chargers give up the most rushing yards in the NFL, averaging about 145 allowed per game.
I believe that Denver will run the ball between 25-30 times this game to control the clock. Given the Chargers’ weak run defense and the Broncos’ track record on the under, I like this game to go under as well.
Seahawks-Washington Under 46.5
To me, the Seahawks are the most reliable under-team in the NFL. They have cashed a lot of underbets this year, with the under being 8-1-1 in their games this season.
Seattle does not control the clock well, as they are last in the NFL in time of possession, averaging 24:44 per game. The next lowest team is a full two minutes ahead of them. In this game, Seattle takes on a Washington defense that ranks sixth in rushing yards allowed per game (98.5), so I don’t expect their time of possession numbers to improve.
Seattle is good at keeping teams out of the endzone. Their defense gives up a lot of yards, but they only give up an average of 20.1 points per game. Offensively, WFT averages 21.2 points per game, while Seattle averages 19.4. I don’t see these teams combining for anything close to 46.5 points.
See More NFL Week 12 Games
These are my best bets for NFL Week 12 games. Do you agree, or do you have your eyes set on other games?
Either way, you can place bets on all of this season’s NFL action at BetMGM. Create a sports betting account today and enjoy a risk-free first bet of up to $1000.