2 Best NFL Player Props for Broncos vs Bills

Denver begins its playoff campaign at home against Josh Allen in Broncos vs Bills. 

In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the matchup. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

Broncos vs Bills Prediction: Divisional Player Props

R.J. Harvey Longest Rush Over 13.5 Yards (-115)

Buffalo showed on Sunday in Jacksonville that the run defense remains a problem. 

Both Jaguars running backs recorded a 20+ yard rush, including a 26-yard gain by Travis Etienne. 

By rush offense DVOA, a minimal difference exists between Denver and Jacksonville. In fact, the Broncos rank a spot ahead for the entire season. 

Recently, Harvey demonstrated his ability to clear this benchmark against stronger opposition. At home against Jacksonville, he reeled off a 38-yard touchdown run. 

That effort is one of only three successes for Harvey this season. However, one of those successes came against a Cowboys run defense similarly bad against the run. 

Harvey stayed under this line against the Bengals, another bad run defense. But that game saw J.K. Dobbins produce a 16-yard longest rush. 

With Dobbins out of the lineup, Harvey has seen an increase in usage. Since December 7, this game marks his easiest rush defense…and he still cleared this line twice in his last five. 

James Cook Over 76.5 Rushing Yards (-115) 

Strength meets strength in this matchup….or does it? 

Buffalo ranks second in rush offense DVOA and first in run-block win rate. Denver places third and fourth in the corresponding defensive categories. 

On average, Denver allows 71.8 rushing yards to opposing backs. 

But the Broncos defense has not faced a top-five unit since Week 2. Against Jonathan Taylor, the rush defense allowed 165 yards. 

Even as recently as December 14, Denver allowed 73 rushing yards to Josh Jacobs. 

By virtually every metric, Cook offers the stiffest test for Denver’s rush defense. 

Cook struggled last week, notching only 46 yards against a good Jags rush defense. 

That marked Cook’s second consecutive failure against this line. However, he cleared this line in four of his previous five games, including against a good Cleveland run defense. 

Given those factors, I predict some regression for Denver as Cook gets back on track.