For the second time in three weeks, NFC West foes clash in Seahawks vs 49ers.
In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the matchup. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.
Seahawks vs 49ers Prediction: Divisional Player Props
Zach Charbonnet Longest Rush Over 12.5 Yards (-120)
I believe bettors could find success with both Charbonnet and Kenneth Walker. Ultimately, I chose Charbonnet based on his recent performance and success.
San Francisco’s run defense has fallen off a cliff since Fred Warner sustained his injury. When these teams met in Week 18, Seattle accumulated 180 yards on the ground.
Charbonnet contributed 17 rushes for 74 yards and a 27-yard longest rush. Walker added 16 rushes for 97 yards, including a 20-yard longest rush.
Both also saw success against a similarly bad Panthers run defense in Week 17.
Charbonnet contributed 110 yards on 18 attempts for a 29-yard longest rush. Walker, who received 15 carries, reeled off a 16-yard longest rush.
Since Week 8, at least one running back has cleared this line in every game bar one against San Francisco.
Pair that defensive record with Charbonnet’s recent successes, and I predict he clears this line for a third straight game.
Christian McCaffrey Longest Rush Under 11.5 Yards (-120)
Seattle held McCaffrey under this benchmark comfortably in Week 18.
Of course, his five-yard longest rush came without Trent Williams, San Francisco’s best run blocker.
Even with Williams back in the fold, San Francisco faces a brutal challenge on Saturday. Seattle leads the NFL in rush defense DVOA and has transformed its rush defense since Week 6.
Coinciding with that timeframe is the inclusion of Nick Emmanwori into the defensive scheme. From that point onward, Seattle ranks fourth in the NFL in early-down rushing success rate.
Mike Macdonald’s defense also ranks second in early-down rushing EPA per play.
This season, McCaffrey is 7-11 to the under against this benchmark, including 2-0 against Seattle.
Additionally, McCaffrey failed to clear this line in all five San Francisco losses this year. As a 7.5-point pup, odds are likely the Niners fall in this spot.
Those trends – along with key blocker George Kittle’s absence – lead me to predict a 12th failure by McCaffrey against this line.
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