2 Best NFL Player Props for MNF: Falcons vs Rams

Week 17’s action closes out with Falcons vs Rams on MNF at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. 

In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the NFC matchup. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

Falcons vs Rams Prediction: MNF Player Props

Drake London Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

London (oddly) delivered a weak performance against the Cardinals in his return last week. 

The potential silver lining? He still saw eight targets against Arizona, despite only three receptions for 27 yards. 

That performance ended a three-game streak where London cleared 100 yards. Over his last six games, he cleared this number five times. 

MNF offers London a chance to get back on track. Los Angeles runs zone coverage at the league’s fourth-highest rate and has allowed 70 yards to opposing WR1s, per ftnfantasy.com. 

This season, London leads all Falcons skill players with 642 yards against zone coverage. His 29.3% target share in that scheme also leads the team. 

Prior to playing Arizona, London faced a Panthers defense that leads the league in zone coverage percentage. 

He notched seven receptions on nine targets for 119 yards in that game. Given that performance, I predict London will surpass this benchmark against a fraudulent secondary. 

Puka Nacua Longest Reception Over 29.5 Yards (-110)

Davante Adams is trending toward another missed game for Los Angeles. 

As much as I’d like to believe opportunity exists for other Rams, data suggests it’s unlikely. Contributing to that belief is the Falcons’ zone-heavy coverage scheme. 

Nacua leads the Rams with a 38.6% target share against zone. That output includes games in which Adams was the WR2. 

His 1,041 yards against zone top all Rams players….by 640 yards. Additionally, Atlanta ranks 24th in DVOA against WR1s. 

Recently, the Falcons defense has struggled to limit long completions. 

Tetairoa McMillan received a 39-yard pass against Atlanta. Mike Evans notched a 45-yard reception against the Falcons secondary. 

Even Michael Wilson saw a 32-yard longest reception last week against Atlanta. Bottom line: this Atlanta defense is exploitable deep. 

Nacua notched this benchmark seven times in 14 games. However, he’s simultaneously cleared it in five straight contests (58, 39, 32, 31, 31). 

Pair that with Atlanta’s defensive struggles, and I predict Nacua clears this for a sixth straight game.