Bears vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:21 PM

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A Cincinnati Bengals helmet sits on the turf prior to an NFL Football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Sep. 29, 2024, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Brian Westerholt)

(AP Photo/Brian Westerholt)

The Bears are -2.5 point favorites vs the Bengals
Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Chicago Bears (4-3-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (3-5-0) on Nov. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Bears vs. Bengals Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.

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Bears vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Bears	-2.5 -110	52.5 -110	-145
Bengals	+2.5 -110	52.5 -110	120

Bears vs. Bengals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 56.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bears vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
D’Andre Swift has hit the Longest Rush Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
Caleb Williams has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 76% ROI)
Noah Fant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Evan McPherson has hit the Field Goals Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Chase Brown has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Bears Best Bets:

The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.30 Units / 35% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Bengals Best Bets:

The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.38 Units / 32% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 4-3 (+0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).

Bears are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 26.99% ROI
Bears are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
Bears are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 3-5 (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

Bengals are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -21.55% ROI
Bengals are 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Bengals are 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have gone three and out on 39% of their drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Bengals have run the ball on 33% of plays (150 carries/459 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Bengals ran successful plays on 83% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in Week 8 — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Bengals have averaged just 3.9 yards per play on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Bears have started 11 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bears have an average drive start position from the 37.0 yard line in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27.3.

The Bears have not attempted a pass on 6 plays on 3rd and short since Week 5 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bears have run the ball on 100% of plays (6 carries/6 plays) on 3rd and short since Week 5 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals