- The Buccaneers are -3 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago Bears (0-1) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) on Sep. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Tampa.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this Week 2 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Bears vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | +2.5 -105 | 41 -110 | +120 |
| Buccaneers | -2.5 -115 | 41 -110 | -145 |
Bears vs. Buccaneers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 2 game with 67.5% confidence.
Bears vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this Week 2 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 74% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Buccaneers vs Bears
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rachaad White | +650 |
| Mike Evans | +650 |
| Justin Fields | +900 |
| Chris Godwin | +900 |
| Khalil Herbert | +1200 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Buccaneers vs Bears
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Mike Evans | -105 |
| Rachaad White | +100 |
| Chris Godwin | +145 |
| Justin Fields | +145 |
| Khalil Herbert | +210 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Buccaneers vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -120 |
| Cade Otton | 23.5 -115 | 23.5 -115 |
| Rachaad White | 18.5 -115 | 18.5 -115 |
| Cole Kmet | 30.5 -120 | 30.5 -110 |
| D.J. Moore | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Buccaneers vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Fields | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -120 |
| Rachaad White | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| Baker Mayfield | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 -110 |
| Khalil Herbert | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -115 |
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Bears are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -100% ROI
- Bears are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bears are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 175% ROI
- Buccaneers are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bears were 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Bears are winless (0-15) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .381.
The Bears are 6-8 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .768.
The Bears are winless (0-10) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .484.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Buccaneers were undefeated (3-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .593.
The Buccaneers were 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.
The Buccaneers are 6-2 (.750) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Buccaneers are 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 63.9% of the time since the 2022 season — highest in NFL. The Bears have allowed 7.8 yards per dropback since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
Buccaneers QBs have been 23 sacked since the 2022 season — fewest in NFL. The Bears have sacked the quarterback 21 times since the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.
The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 13.9% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Bears have pressured opposing QBs on just 16.7% of passing plays since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL.
The Bears have been successful on just 38.6% of plays they have run since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 39.1% of plays since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears threw the ball 38% of the time (376 Pass Attempts/990 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Bears threw the ball 15% of the time (8 Pass Attempts/52 plays) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bears threw the ball 34% of the time (254 Pass Attempts/747 plays) on Early Downs in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Bears ran successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 13% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
26 of the Buccaneers offense’s 31 (84%) TDs came through the air in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Buccaneers converted first downs on just 11 of 99 plays (11%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 64% of the time (1,516 Pass Attempts/2,367 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 39% on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Bears defense allowed a passer rating of 122.4 on 3rd and long (66 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 78.1.
The Bears defense allowed first downs on 49% of plays on 3rd down in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of 127.3 on 3rd and long (72 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 78.4.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 10% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 1 — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 23% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 20% of plays on 1st down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed 516 times since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
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