Bears vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The are point favorites vs the
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The visit AT&T Stadium to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Arlington.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bears vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

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vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bears+10 -11042.5 -110+350
Cowboys -10 -11042.5 -110-450

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 8 game with 78.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread this Week 8 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ryan Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Bears

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Tony Pollard +450
    CeeDee Lamb +750
    David Montgomery +900
    Ezekiel Elliott
    Justin Fields +1200

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Bears

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Tony Pollard -140
    David Montgomery +110
    CeeDee Lamb +120
    Ezekiel Elliott
    Justin Fields +150

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Bears

    Player Name Over Under
    Khalil Herbert 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
    Darnell Mooney 43.5 -110 43.5 -120
    Cole Kmet 24.5 -120 24.5 -110
    David Montgomery 8.5 -105 8.5 -125
    Equanimeous St. Brown 19.5 -115 19.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Bears

    Player Name Over Under
    Justin Fields 48.5 -120 48.5 -110
    David Montgomery 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
    Tony Pollard 77.5 -115 77.5 -115
    Khalil Herbert 38.5 -120 38.5 -110
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+8.30 Units / 113% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 3-3 (-0.4 Units / -5.13% ROI).

    • are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 32.68% ROI
    • are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
    • are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI

    Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 5-2 (+2.85 Units / 37.75% ROI).

    • are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 58.85% ROI
    • are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
    • are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

    Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

    The Bears are winless (0-8) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.

    The Bears were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.

    The Bears are winless (0-9) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.

    The Bears were winless (0-7) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

    Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

    The Cowboys are 13-1 (.929) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 135.7 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

    The Cowboys are 15-3 (.833) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Bears have turned the ball over 36 times since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

    The Cowboys are 4-1 (.800) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .603.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys RBs have averaged 113.0 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 135.7 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Cowboys have averaged just 0.9 passing TDs per game this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed just 0.7 passing touchdowns per game this season — second-best in NFL.

    The Cowboys are 13-1 (.929) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 135.7 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Bears have run just 38.4% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — fourth-worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed their opponents to run just 37.8% of plays in their territory this season — third-best in NFL.

    The Bears have thrown for 885 passing yards in 6 games (just 147.5 YPG) this season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just 185.1 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL.

    The Bears have a third down conversion rate of just 35.4% since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.6% since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Bears have thrown the ball 34% of the time (114 Pass Attempts/333 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

    The Bears have allowed a QB Hit on 38% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

    The Bears have been sacked on 17% of pass attempts (23/137) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    The Bears have been sacked on 21% of pass attempts (7/34) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 17% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

    The Cowboys have started 12 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Cowboys have started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — tied for 3rd-most in NFL.

    The Cowboys have converted first downs on just 25 of 139 plays (18%) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Bears defense has allowed 61 of 113 (54%) first downs on the ground this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

    The Bears defense has allowed 52 of 113 (46%) first downs through the air (46%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

    The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Cowboys defense has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (29/266) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

    The Cowboys defense averaged 1.5 interceptions per game (26/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

    The Cowboys defense has 33 interceptions since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

    The Cowboys defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.