- The Falcons (4-6) are -3 point favorites vs the Bears (3-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 50 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago Bears (3-8) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (5-6) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta.
The – are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bears vs. Falcons Over/Under is total points for the game.
Bet now on Falcons vs Bears & all NFL games with BetMGM
Bears vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | |||
| Falcons |
Bears vs. Falcons Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 11 game with 65.8% confidence.
Bears vs Falcons Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 11 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Falcons vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Bryan Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Marcus Mariota has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Bears Best Bets for Week 11:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets for Week 11:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 4-5 (-1.6 Units / -14.41% ROI).
- Bears are 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -9.38% ROI
- Bears are 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Bears are 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 6-4 (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Falcons are 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -15.52% ROI
- Falcons are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Falcons are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Bears are winless (0-10) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .384.
The Bears were winless (0-7) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
The Bears are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Bears are 6-7 (.462) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .779.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Falcons are winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .629.
The Falcons are 3-9 (.250) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .451.
The Falcons are 2-5 (.286) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.
The Falcons are 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons
Falcons RBs have averaged 126.3 rushing yards per game this season — second-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 143.5 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs have 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 17 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.
Falcons RBs have averaged 5.4 touches per game in the red zone this season — second-highest in NFL. The Bears have allowed 11 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Bears scored on 50% of their drives last week — tied for third-best in NFL. The Falcons defense allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in Week 10 — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Bears have scored on 52.4% of their drives since Week 7 — second-best in NFL. The Falcons defense has allowed scores on 48.8% of opponent drives since Week 7 — worst in NFL.
The Bears have run successful plays on 45.5% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since Week 7 — third-best in NFL. The Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on just 8.8% of passing plays since Week 7 — second-worst in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 11
The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 40% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Bears have been sacked on 21% of pass attempts (13/63) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Bears have run the ball on 46% of plays (60 carries/131 plays) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Bears have thrown the ball 34% of the time (207 Pass Attempts/601 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats for Week 11
The Falcons have thrown 59% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.
The Falcons ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Falcons have converted first downs on 13 of 20 plays (65%) on plays up the middle since Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Falcons have thrown the ball 40% of the time (231 Pass Attempts/585 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 11
The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 43% on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Bears defense has allowed 17 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Bears defense has allowed 15 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats for Week 11
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (31/985) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (18/593) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense has hurried opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 30.2 pass attempts (392 Pass Attempts/13 Sacks) this season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Falcons vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
