Bears vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 12:05 AM
  • The Jets (6-4) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Bears (3-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Chicago Bears (3-8) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (6-4) on Nov. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford.

The Jets are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Bears vs. Jets Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.

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Bears vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bears+6 -11039 -110+200
Jets -6 -11039 -110-250

Bears vs. Jets Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jets will win this Week 12 game with 74.5% confidence.

Bears vs Jets Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread this Week 12 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.30 Units / 111% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 4-6 (-2.7 Units / -22.13% ROI).

  • Bears are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -16.8% ROI
  • Bears are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Bears are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 6-4 (+1.55 Units / 14.03% ROI).

  • Jets are 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 90.29% ROI
  • Jets are 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.75 Units / -42.99% ROI
  • Jets are 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Bears are 6-8 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .775.

The Bears are 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Bears are 4-18 (.182) when underdogs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.

The Bears are 1-5 (.167) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Jets are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bears have averaged just 1.4 sacks per game over that time span — second-worst in NFL.

The Jets are 4-8 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .729.

The Jets were winless (0-7) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

The Jets are 6-1 (.857) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. New York Jets

Jets WRs have gained 394 yards on 26 receptions (15.2 YPR) since Week 7 — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs since Week 7 — fifth-worst in NFL.

Jets WRs have averaged 6.6 yards after the catch since Week 7 — second-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 6.3 yards after catch per reception to WRs since Week 7 — third-worst in NFL.

The Jets are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bears have averaged just 1.4 sacks per game over that time span — second-worst in NFL.

The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 39% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL. The Jets have pressured opposing QBs on 26.5% of passing plays this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

Bears WRs have just 92.5 receiving yards per game this season — worst in NFL. The Jets have averaged just 124.5 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs this season — third-best in NFL.

Bears WRs have just 86.8 receiving yards per game since Week 7 — second-worst in NFL. The Jets have averaged just 105.0 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since Week 7 — second-best in NFL.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Bears have thrown the ball 34% of the time (228 Pass Attempts/667 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Bears have 113 of 182 (62%) first downs have come on the ground (62%) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 39% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Bears have 69 of 182 (38%) first downs through the air this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Jets went three and out on 58% of their drives in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Jets ran 10% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Jets ran successful plays on 16% of plays in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Bears defense has allowed 16 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Bears defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (23 completions/32 attempts) in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Bears’ opponents have attempted just 26.9 passes per game this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 33.5.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

Only 5% of the plays run against the Jets have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

The Jets defense allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18.0.

The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.