Bears vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2022, 8:43 AM
  • The Packers (0-1) are -10 point favorites vs the Bears (1-0)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Chicago Bears (1-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (0-1) on Sep. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Green Bay.

The Packers are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Bears vs. Packers Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Bears vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chicago Bears+10 -11041.5 -110+375
Green Bay Packers -10 -11041.5 -110-500

Bears vs. Packers Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 2 game with 82.0% confidence.

Bears vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread this Week 2 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • David Montgomery has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • David Montgomery has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+3.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.40 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Aaron Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 29% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Bears

Player Name Over Under
Aaron Jones 29.5 -110 29.5 -115
David Montgomery 16.5 -115 16.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Bears

Player Name Over Under
AJ Dillon 50.5 -110 50.5 -115
David Montgomery 50.5 -110 50.5 -115
Justin Fields 36.5 -115 36.5 -115
Aaron Jones 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Bears are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Bears are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Bears are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Packers are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Packers are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Packers are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Bears were winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.

The Bears are winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .372.

The Bears were winless (0-7) when allowing 27 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

The Bears were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Packers were 1-2 (.333) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Packers were 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Bears intercepted 8 passes last season — fourth-fewest in NFL.

The Packers were 11-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL. The Bears turned the ball over 28 times last season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Packers are 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Bears have intercepted 9 passes since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-fewest in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers ran 52.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — fifth-best in NFL. Bears allowed their opponents to run49.7% of plays in their territory last season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Packers scored on 9.1% of their drives last week — tied for worst in NFL. The Bears defense allowed scores on 18.2% of opponent drives in Week 1 — fifth-best in NFL.

The Packers are averaging 4.8 yards per carry on first down since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 5.0 yards per carry on first down since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

The Bears have a third down conversion rate of just 36.5% in the first half since the 2020 season — second-worst in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 38.4% in the first half since the 2020 season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Bears have thrown for 20+ yards on 84 of 1,172 attempts since the 2020 season — third-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2020 season — tied for second-best in NFL.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Bears threw the ball 30% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/56 plays) in Week 1 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Bears ran successful plays on 34% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bears ran 114% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bears have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Packers scored on 9% of their drives in Week 1 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Packers were flagged 29 times on offense last season — fewest in NFL.

The Packers ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers have committed 34 turnovers since the 2019 season — fewest in NFL.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 in the red zone (0 Pass Attempts) since Week 16 of the 2021 Season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.0.

The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 43% of pass attempts (48/111) when they pressured the QB last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

The Bears defense allowed first downs on 55% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers defense allowed first downs on 41% of rush attempts in close and late situations last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 50% of rush attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.