- The Bears are -2.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Chicago Bears (0-0-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Charlotte, NC.
The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-135).
The Bears vs. Panthers Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | -2.5 -135 | 45.5 +105 | -165 |
| Panthers | +2.5 +105 | 45.5 -145 | +138 |
Bears vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 55.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bears vs Panthers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 89% ROI)
- Rome Odunze has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Completions Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Xavier Legette has hit the Receptions Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- Xavier Legette has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ryan Fitzgerald has hit the Field Goals Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 47% ROI)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Bears
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | -160 |
| Chuba Hubbard | +110 |
| Jonathon Brooks | +125 |
| Luther Burden III | +155 |
| Kyle Monangai | +160 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
| Colston Loveland | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
| Jalen Coker | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -115 |
| Xavier Legette | 18.5 -120 | 18.5 -111 |
| Cole Kmet | 13.5 -111 | 13.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 62.5 -111 | 62.5 -118 |
| Caleb Williams | 17.5 -135 | 17.5 +100 |
| Bryce Young | 14.5 -120 | 14.5 -111 |
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+11.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.65 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+6.28 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.70 Units / 142% ROI)
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Bears are 11-4 (.733) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average of 152.9 rushing yards per game since the 2024 season — highest in NFL.
The Bears were 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .418.
The Bears were 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
The Bears were 11-6 (.647) last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .498.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Panthers were 3-1 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
The Panthers were 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .583.
The Panthers were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .405.
The Panthers are 7-19 (.269) when making less than 3 explosive run plays in a game (6th-lowest in NFL) and 6-2 (.750) when making 3 or more explosive run plays in a game since the 2024 season (T-7th-best in NFL).
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers went three and out on 0% of their drives last week — T-best in NFL. The Bears forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives last week — T-lowest in NFL.
Panthers TEs had just 27.5 receiving yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-lowest in NFL. The Bears allowed an average of just 37.0 receiving yards per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL.
Panthers WRs had 196.0 receiving yards per game last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bears averaged 283.0 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs last week — highest in NFL.
Bears QBs were sacked 24 times last season — 3rd-fewest in NFL. The Panthers sacked the quarterback 30 times last season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
The Bears had a third down conversion rate of 45.5% in the second half last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 46.6% in the second half last season — 2nd-highest in NFL.
Bears TEs gained 11.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — 3rd-highest in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears converted late downs on 37 of 301 plays (12%) with 4-6 yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Bears ran 52% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Bears ran 53% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Bears averaged 0.10 epa per play in the 2nd half last season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers averaged just 8.1 yards per play against open coverage last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.
The Panthers went three and out on 8% of their drives in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Panthers averaged -0.69 epa per play against tight coverage last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.
The Panthers went three and out on 15% of their drives last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed successful plays on 69% of plays open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Bears defense forced 33 turnovers last season — most in NFL.
The Bears defense allowed successful plays on 52% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bears defense allowed 6.3 yards per play in the 2nd half last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts on 3rd and long last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Panthers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 37% on 3rd and long last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Panthers defense allowed first downs on 37% of plays on 3rd and long last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Panthers defense allowed a passer rating of just 77.3 against play action passes (103 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 101.4.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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