Bears vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 26, 2025, 10:19 AM

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(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

The Ravens are -6.5 point favorites vs the Bears
Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Chicago Bears (4-2-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (1-5-0) on Oct. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Bears vs. Ravens Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

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Bears vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Bears	+6.5 -110	49.5 -110	230
Ravens	-6.5 -110	49.5 -110	-285

Bears vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 72.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bears vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Caleb Williams has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 52% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 60% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Rashod Bateman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)

Bears Best Bets:

The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.20 Units / 33% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.17 Units / 9% ROI)

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

Bears are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 44.76% ROI
Bears are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
Bears are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-5 (-4.55 Units / -68.42% ROI).

Ravens are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -38.71% ROI
Ravens are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Ravens are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have averaged -0.91 epa per play on play action passes since Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.

The Ravens have averaged 7.9 yards per play on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens have averaged 7.3 yards per play on the road since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Ravens have converted late downs on 6 of 73 plays (8%) with over 10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Ravens defense have allowed 11.1 yards per play on contested throws this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens defense has allowed 3.5 TDs per game (21/6) in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 60% of opponent drives (9/15) in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Ravens defense has allowed successful plays on 64% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens